Ukrainian sovereign Eurobonds gained ground last week after the Finance Ministry managed to raise USD 350mn through placement of 2-year domestic USD-denominated bonds at 5.34%. Also, the country’s 2Q17 preliminary GDP growth figure of 2.4% YoY was better than expected given the headwinds created by Kyiv’s costly economic blockade of the Donbass occupied territories. However, the current pace of Ukraine’s economic growth remains rather unimpressive, and we would not be surprised if the full year
Ukrainian sovereign Eurobonds gained ground last week after the Finance Ministry managed to raise USD 350mn through placement of 2-year domestic USD-denominated bonds at 5.34%. Also, the country’s 2Q17 preliminary GDP growth figure of 2.4% YoY was better than expected given the headwinds created by Kyiv’s costly economic blockade of the Donbass occupied territories. However, the current pace of Ukraine’s economic growth remains rather unimpressive, and we would not be surprised if the full year GDP growth figure comes in at less than 1.8%, which is the government’s current forecast.
Long-term benchmark Ukraine-27s added 1.1% to 99.3/100.3 (7.8%/7.7%) and quotes for Ukraine-19s (due in just over 2 years from now) edged up 0.3% to 103.9/104.4 (5.7%/5.5%). Meanwhile, the VRI derivatives (linked to Ukraine’s future GDP growth with expiration in 2040) continued their red-hot summer rally, jumping another 10% to 50.0/51.4 cents on the dollar.
In corporate debt papers, DTEK-24s advanced by 1.9% to 94.5/95.5 (11.9%/11.8%) after the company’s parent group SCM purchased the government’s 25% blocking stakes in KyivEnergo, ZakhidEnergo, and DonetsOblEnergo at privatization auctions held last week. There was a speculative 8.0% rebound in quotes for distressed UkrLandFarming-18s to 29.0/33.0 cents on the dollar. MHP-2024s were little changed at 103.4/103.9 (7.1%/7.0%) after the company reported fairly impressive financial results for 1H17. The company’s current debt-to-EBITDA ratio stands at 2.4x.
Quasi-sovereign issue UkrEximBank-23s inched up 0.2% to 95.6/96.9 (9.5%/9.2%). The National Bank said that in 1H17 Ukrainain banks increased retail loans in the domestic currency by 13.4% YoY. The growth in the retail loan portfolio suggests a recovery in banks’ appetite for lending amid rising household consumption. On the other hand, corporate lending remained subdued in 1H17, restrained by poor creditor rights protection and high credit risk in the corporate sector.
The yield on the government’s 2-year UAH-denominated bonds was unchanged at bid/ask of 15.20%/14.80%, with 1-year domestic hrvynia bonds standing at 14.70%. ru.cbonds.info
2017-8-21 17:10