Ukrainian Eurobonds daily comment on 18 April

Dmitry Churin, Head of Research, Eavex Capital: Quotes for Ukrainian sovereign Eurobonds rose moderately last week amid an improving domestic political situation that saw a new coalition finally formed after 2 months of wrangling and uncertainty. The shortest outstanding issue, Ukraine-19s, gained 0.4% to close at 94.3/95.0 (9.8%/9.5%), while benchmark 10-year Ukraine-26s were little-changed at 89.0/89.8 (9.4%/9.3%). Investors had a positive attitude toward the appointment of 38-year-old former ru.cbonds.info »

2016-04-18 19:16

Aussie Strengthens On Syria Deal, Summers Withdrawal From Fed Chairman Contest

The Australian dollar advanced against other major currencies in Asian deals on Monday, as sentiment improved after the U.S. and Russia reached deal to remove Syria's chemical weapons and Lawrence Summers pulled out from race to Fed's top post.

Summers on Sunday notified President Barack Obama that he was withdrawing his name from consideration to replace Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke when the latter's term expires at the end of January.

"I have reluctantly concluded that any possible confirmation process for me would be acrimonious and would not serve the interests of the Federal Reserve, the administration or ultimately, the interests of the nation's ongoing economic recovery," Summers wrote.

Vice Chair Janet Yellen, who favor a slower reduction of asset purchases, now becomes the clear-cut favorite for the job.

Over the weekend, the U.S. and Russia agreed on a deal to eliminate Syria's chemical weapons by mid-2014.

The framework deal requires Syria to furnish full details of its stockpile within a week. The U.S said that non-compliance, including unauthorized transfer, or any use of chemical weapons by anyone in Syria, the UN Security Council should impose measures under Chapter VII of the UN Charter.

The aussie appreciated to 0.9390 against the greenback, highest since June 19. The next resistance for the aussie-greenback pair lies at the 0.95 level. The pair was worth 0.9244 at yesterday's close.

The aussie that ended Friday's trading at 1.1369 against the NZ dollar advanced to a 4-day high of 1.1419. The aussie may face resistance around the 1.15 level.

New Zealand house sales dipped 3.4 percent to 6,548 in August, compared to the previous month, the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand said today. That follows the 0.5 percent contraction in July.

The aussie advanced to a 4-day high of 92.76 against the yen, up by 1.2 percent from last week's multi-day low of 91.69. On the upside, the aussie may probably seek resistance at the 93.6 level.

The aussie spiked up to more than 2-month high of 0.9680 against the loonie, which is up from Friday's closing quote of 0.9569. The aussie is likely to test resistance at the 0.98 level.

The aussie reached 1.4236 against the euro, a level unseen since July 24 and an increase of 1 percent from last week's close of 1.4381. The next upside target for the aussie lies at the 1.41 level.

Looking ahead, Eurozone final inflation for August is due in the European session.

The U.S. industrial production and Canada existing home sales for August are set for release in the New York session.

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2013-09-16 09:49

Research: Eur Review

Quotes from RBC Capital Markets:

-EUR: The ECB's Draghi spoke in London, repeating that the risks to growth are still on the downside but he sees a fragile and gradual recovery. He reminded that exit from exceptional monetary policy remains distant and that "we stand ready to act again when needed" but there are limits to what monetary policy can achieve. He says policy will remain accommodative for the foreseeable future. Elsewhere, the FT and La Repubblica quote a report by the Italian Treasury detailing the country's debt transactions for H1 2012 and suggesting the restructuring of eight derivatives contracts with foreign banks during that period could lead to up to EUR8bn in losses for Italy.

-The FT says the restructuring allowed the Tsy to stagger payments to foreign banks (on derivatives with a total notional value of EUR31.7bn) but the Italian govt had to accept more disadvantageous terms in some cases. The Italian Tsy has issued a statement in response saying the contracts were used to hedge against exchange rate/interest rate risks at the time of Italy's entry to the Euro, and carried a cost which is "justified by the need to protect against serious risks". Italian spreads are tighter on the day, largely ignoring the derivatives story in favour of the short-covering mood. 

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2013-06-26 16:47

BoE's Fisher Says British Economy Remains Weak, Downplays Bullish Outlook

UK's economy remains vulnerable to risks despite recent economic data indicating a strong pick up in activity, Bank of England policymaker Paul Fisher said Wednesday. He cautioned that growth will likely remain weak in the near term and the economy will take a longer time to recover than the United States.

Dismissing the recent positive economic data as insignificant, BoE's head of markets noted that it is imperative to keep monetary policy loose for a long period to achieve growth that is in line with trend.

Fisher said that the macroeconomic outlook in the U.K. is not as good as in the U.S, where inventors had belatedly realized that a recovery is possible.

Addressing a gathering of business persons, Fisher said that house prices in the U.K. are too high and urged lenders to pass on their lower funding costs on to clients. Terming the government's Funding for Lending scheme a success, he called for actions conducive to increase the number of transactions in order to raise demand.

In an interview given to The Times earlier the policymaker reserved his comment on his stance on BoE governor Mervyn King's proposal to split the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) into a "good" bank and a "bad" bank. He said that it is possible to privatize the RBS if a two-year program is prepared for the same.

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2013-06-12 19:41

Australia Retail Sales Post Surprise Fall

Australia's retail sales unexpectedly declined in November amid sharp reduction in sales at department stores and in household goods category, the latest figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed Wednesday.

Retail sales fell 0.1 percent month-on-month to A$21.5 billion on a seasonally adjusted basis in November against expectations for a 0.3 percent growth. This followed a flat reading in October.

Sales of household goods declined 0.9 percent month-on-month in November and trade at department stores slipped 0.4 percent. There was zero growth in food retailing and 0.6 percent drop in clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing.

Retail sales in Australia continue to disappoint, following on from a soft report in October, Tom Kennedy, an economist at J. P. Morgan Australia, said. "What little strength that we have seen in the retail report over the past few months has largely been generated by food retailing, which is likely being driven by an increase in prices, rather than a surge in demand."

The economists said real consumption has been very soft during the final three months of the year.

Separately, the statistical office reported that job vacancies in Australia fell to 166,800 in September-November from 179,200 in the three months through August after adjusting for seasonal variations. This was the lowest level since May 2010.

In a report today, the Housing Industry Association (HIA) said that new home sales posted a second consecutive monthly improvement in November driven by higher demand for detached houses.

Home sales rose 4.7 percent in November. However, HIA said that sales still remained at quite low levels. In the three months to November, the volume of sales was 15.7 percent lower than in the same period in 2011.

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2013-01-09 09:09